Difference between revisions of "27: Daniel Schmachtenberger - On Avoiding Apocalypses"

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<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:00:26-00:00:40(6,7-)">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Distributed_Idea_Suppression_Complex The DISC]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:00:26-00:00:40">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Distributed_Idea_Suppression_Complex The DISC]</div>


<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:01:40-00:02:05(6,7-)">[https://twitter.com/BilldeBlasio/status/1234648718714036229 New York mayor tweet]</div>
<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:01:40-00:02:05">[https://twitter.com/BilldeBlasio/status/1234648718714036229 New York mayor tweet]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:02:05-00:02:27(6,7-)">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Gated_Institutional_Narrative gated institutional narrative]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:02:05-00:02:27">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Gated_Institutional_Narrative gated institutional narrative]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:02:48-00:03:05(6,7-)">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Embedded_Growth_Obligation Embedded Growth Obligation]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:02:48-00:03:05">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Embedded_Growth_Obligation Embedded Growth Obligation]</div>


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<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:21-00:03:28(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Externality#Negative negative externalities]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:21-00:03:28">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Externality#Negative negative externalities]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:22-00:03:29(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Von_Neumann%E2%80%93Morgenstern_utility_theorem von Neuman-Morgenstern]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:22-00:03:29">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Von_Neumann%E2%80%93Morgenstern_utility_theorem von Neuman-Morgenstern]</div>


<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:03:23-00:03:030(6,7-)">[sub-utility functions]</div>
<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:03:23-00:03:030">[sub-utility functions]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:24-00:03:31(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principal%E2%80%93agent_problem principal agent problems]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:24-00:03:31">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principal%E2%80%93agent_problem principal agent problems]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:25-00:03:32(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_hazard moral hazard]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:25-00:03:32">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moral_hazard moral hazard]</div>


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<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:44-00:04:09(6,7-)">[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272523108000026 Mechanical Ventilation in an Airborne Epidemic]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:44-00:04:09">[https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0272523108000026 Mechanical Ventilation in an Airborne Epidemic]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:45-00:04:10(6,7-)">[https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6819413/ Preparing intensive care for the next pandemic influenza]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:45-00:04:10">[https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6819413/ Preparing intensive care for the next pandemic influenza]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:46-00:04:11(6,7-)">[https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/23/6/16-1417_article stockpiling ventilators for influenza, pandemics]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:46-00:04:11">[https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/23/6/16-1417_article stockpiling ventilators for influenza, pandemics]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:47-00:04:12(6,7-)">[https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4603361/ estimates of the demand for mechanical ventilation in the United States during an influenza pandemic]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:03:47-00:04:12">[https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4603361/ estimates of the demand for mechanical ventilation in the United States during an influenza pandemic]</div>




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<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:07:35-00:07:45(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triage Triage] is the process of determining the priority of patients' treatments based on the severity of their condition or likelihood of recovery with and without treatment.</div>
<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:07:35-00:07:45">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triage Triage] is the process of determining the priority of patients' treatments based on the severity of their condition or likelihood of recovery with and without treatment.</div>




<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:13:05-00:13:14(6,7-)">[https://civilizationemerging.com/about/ Daniel Schmachtenberger website]</div>
<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:13:05-00:13:14">[https://civilizationemerging.com/about/ Daniel Schmachtenberger website]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:14:17-00:14:27(6,7-)">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Twin_Nuclei_Problem The Twin Nuclei Problem]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:14:17-00:14:27">[https://theportal.wiki/wiki/Twin_Nuclei_Problem The Twin Nuclei Problem]</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:15:08-00:15:48(6,7-)">[https://www.gameb.wiki/wiki/Main_Page Game B]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:15:08-00:15:48">[https://www.gameb.wiki/wiki/Main_Page Game B]</div>


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<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:40:12-00:40:20(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_drive A gene drive] is a genetic engineering technology that propagates a particular suite of genes throughout a population by altering the probability that a specific allele will be transmitted to offspring from the natural 50% probability.</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:40:12-00:40:20">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gene_drive A gene drive] is a genetic engineering technology that propagates a particular suite of genes throughout a population by altering the probability that a specific allele will be transmitted to offspring from the natural 50% probability.</div>


<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:41:23-00:41:40(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Kalynivka_ammunition_depot_explosion Kalynivka ammunition depot explosion]</div>
<div data-type="resource" data-timestamp="00:41:23-00:41:40">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Kalynivka_ammunition_depot_explosion Kalynivka ammunition depot explosion]</div>


<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:41:23-00:41:40(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mujahideen Mujahideen]</div>
<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:41:23-00:41:40">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mujahideen Mujahideen]</div>


<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:46:08-00:46:30(6,7-)">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google%27s_Ideological_Echo_Chamber James Damore]</div>
<div data-type="note" data-timestamp="00:46:08-00:46:30">[https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google%27s_Ideological_Echo_Chamber James Damore]</div>

Revision as of 16:19, 25 April 2020

Description

In this second episode of the Portal to be released during shelter-in-place restrictions during the Corona Virus Pandemic, we release an older discussion with Daniel Schmachtenberger on whether there is any plausible long term scenario for human flourishing confined to a single shared planet.

Daniel is seen as a leader of the growing Game B subculture of the human potential movement. This group bets that there is a second evolutionary stable strategy for cohabiting not based on conflict or rivalry, even for life raised in Game A (i.e. standard evolutionary and economic environments based on scarcity and rivalrous goods. Eric asks Daniel about where the bright spots and progress might be in this movement which refuses to accept the fate that that Eric has elsewhere put forward as the Twin Nuclei Problem of having unlocked the power of both Cell and Atom in the early 1950s without the wisdom to use it.


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Annotations for the portal player

The DISC
New York mayor tweet
gated institutional narrative
Embedded Growth Obligation

-

negative externalities
von Neuman-Morgenstern
[sub-utility functions]
principal agent problems
moral hazard

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Mechanical Ventilation in an Airborne Epidemic
Preparing intensive care for the next pandemic influenza
stockpiling ventilators for influenza, pandemics
estimates of the demand for mechanical ventilation in the United States during an influenza pandemic


Triage is the process of determining the priority of patients' treatments based on the severity of their condition or likelihood of recovery with and without treatment.


Daniel Schmachtenberger website
The Twin Nuclei Problem
Game B



A gene drive is a genetic engineering technology that propagates a particular suite of genes throughout a population by altering the probability that a specific allele will be transmitted to offspring from the natural 50% probability.
Kalynivka ammunition depot explosion
Mujahideen
James Damore